2026-06-15 · 10 games · tap a row for the full breakdown
10 games · ranked by HR conditions (park × wind × temp). Green = boost, red = suppressed. Tap a game for weather, time, stadium + top plays.
MIA @ PHIHR boost
Citizens Bank Park
6:40p Finalwind 14 mph L To R
75°
First pitch & venue
MIA @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 6:40p Final
Weather
Partly Cloudy · 75°F · wind wind 14 mph L To R
HR conditions ×1.11 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
1.10
WindL To R
1.00
Temperature75°F
1.01
Top HR plays in this gameKyle Schwarber PHI29%›Kyle Stowers MIA27%›Bryce Harper PHI27%›Heriberto Hernández MIA24%›Brandon Marsh PHI22%›
SP: Ryan Gusto (R) vs Zack Wheeler (R)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
MIA lineup · vs Zack Wheeler (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Zack Wheeler • RHP (PHI)
MIA @ PHI | vs MIA
5/1 W–L (Tied–34th) • 2.22 ERA • 53 Ks (Tied–93rd) • 0.85 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 2.22 ERA (H 2.33 / A 2.17)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.81
hittability
Pitcher summary
Zack Wheeler carries a 1.24 HR/9 and gave up 1 last time out (6 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 5 to LHB (1.4/9), 2 to RHB (0.8/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/09 6.0 IP · 96 P1 HR
06/04 7.0 IP · 104 P1 HR
05/29 6.0 IP · 90 P4 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Stowers 27%, Caissie 15%, Hicks 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Hernández 24%, Sanoja 14%, Mack 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
38%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.511
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
24%
ParkPHI
1.10
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 5 HR in 126 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.520
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkPHI
1.10
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 87 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
37%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.523
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
25%
ParkPHI
1.10
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam39% used · 331 pit
4 HR
stuff
74%
swing & miss
22%
contact
78%
fly ball
34%
ground ball
25%
spin 1:42
sinker17% used · 142 pit
1 HR
stuff
76%
swing & miss
4%
contact
96%
fly ball
15%
ground ball
56%
spin 1:41
sweeper14% used · 115 pit
0 HR
stuff
74%
swing & miss
28%
contact
72%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:51
split13% used · 108 pit
1 HR
stuff
68%
swing & miss
38%
contact
62%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
54%
spin 2:09
cutter11% used · 91 pit
1 HR
stuff
82%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
7%
ground ball
60%
spin 1:05
curve7% used · 63 pit
0 HR
stuff
83%
swing & miss
31%
contact
69%
fly ball
14%
ground ball
57%
spin 7:49
4-seam39% used · 224 pit
3 HR
stuff
74%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
34%
ground ball
25%
spin 1:42
sinker17% used · 25 pit
0 HR
stuff
76%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
15%
ground ball
56%
spin 1:41
sweeper14% used · 33 pit
0 HR
stuff
74%
swing & miss
9%
contact
91%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:51
split13% used · 94 pit
1 HR
stuff
68%
swing & miss
37%
contact
63%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
54%
spin 2:09
cutter11% used · 91 pit
1 HR
stuff
82%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
7%
ground ball
60%
spin 1:05
curve7% used · 62 pit
0 HR
stuff
83%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
14%
ground ball
57%
spin 7:49
4-seam39% used · 107 pit
1 HR
stuff
74%
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
34%
ground ball
25%
spin 1:42
sinker17% used · 117 pit
1 HR
stuff
76%
swing & miss
5%
contact
95%
fly ball
15%
ground ball
56%
spin 1:41
sweeper14% used · 82 pit
0 HR
stuff
74%
swing & miss
36%
contact
64%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:51
split13% used · 14 pit
0 HR
stuff
68%
swing & miss
46%
contact
54%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
54%
spin 2:09
curve7% used · 1 pit
0 HR
stuff
83%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
14%
ground ball
57%
spin 7:49
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.932——25%2.33
Away1.215——25%2.17
vs LHB1.39515%22%23%—
vs RHB1.03213%24%25%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Liam Hicks L7%›2 Otto Lopez R8%›3 Kyle Stowers L27%›4 Xavier Edwards 4%›5 Heriberto Hernández R24%›6 Owen Caissie 15%›7 Jakob Marsee L5%›8 Joe Mack 8%›9 Javier Sanoja R14%›
PHI lineup · vs Ryan Gusto (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Ryan Gusto R
MIA @ PHI | vs PHI · no data
—
1 Kyle Schwarber L29%›2 Trea Turner 11%›3 Bryce Harper L27%›4 Brandon Marsh L22%›5 Bryson Stott L13%›6 J.T. Realmuto R10%›7 Gabriel Rincones Jr. —›8 Justin Crawford L6%›9 Edmundo Sosa R12%›
KC @ WSHsuppressed
Nationals Park
6:45p Finalwind 11 mph In From LF
76°
First pitch & venue
KC @ WSH
Nationals Park · 6:45p Final
Weather
Partly Cloudy · 76°F · wind wind 11 mph In From LF
HR conditions ×0.91 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
1.00
WindIn From LF
0.90
Temperature76°F
1.01
Top HR plays in this gameJames Wood WSH28%›Luis García Jr. WSH21%›Bobby Witt Jr. KC20%›CJ Abrams WSH19%›Jac Caglianone KC16%›
SP: Mitch Spence (R) vs Andrew Alvarez (L)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
KC lineup · vs Andrew Alvarez (LHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Andrew Alvarez • LHP (WSH)
KC @ WSH | vs KC
1/0 W–L • 3.70 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.44 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 15% FB • 24% K • 3.70 ERA (H 3.79 / A 3.38)
▬ Holding steady
0.65
hittability
Pitcher summary
Andrew Alvarez carries a 1.00 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (1 over his last 3).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/09 4.0 IP · 90 P0 HR
06/03 4.2 IP · 82 P1 HR
05/29 3.0 IP · 74 P bulk0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Caglianone 16%, Jensen 7%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Jr. 20%, Perez 16%, Garcia 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
17%
Fly ballsballs in the air
15%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
44%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.568
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
24%
ParkWSH
1.00
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 39 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
23%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
41%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.538
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
20%
ParkWSH
1.00
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 87 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
18%
Fly ballsballs in the air
16%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.574
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
25%
ParkWSH
1.00
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
slider31% used · 155 pit
1 HR
stuff
20%
swing & miss
38%
contact
62%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
35%
spin 4:51
curve27% used · 132 pit
0 HR
stuff
90%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
11%
ground ball
56%
spin 5:16
4-seam25% used · 125 pit
2 HR
stuff
4%
swing & miss
8%
contact
92%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
58%
spin 11:02
sinker14% used · 69 pit
0 HR
stuff
5%
swing & miss
10%
contact
90%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
73%
spin 10:40
slider31% used · 62 pit
1 HR
stuff
20%
swing & miss
36%
contact
64%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
35%
spin 4:51
curve27% used · 24 pit
0 HR
stuff
90%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
11%
ground ball
56%
spin 5:16
4-seam25% used · 16 pit
0 HR
stuff
4%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
58%
spin 11:02
sinker14% used · 47 pit
0 HR
stuff
5%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
73%
spin 10:40
slider31% used · 93 pit
0 HR
stuff
20%
swing & miss
40%
contact
60%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
35%
spin 4:51
curve27% used · 108 pit
0 HR
stuff
90%
swing & miss
38%
contact
62%
fly ball
11%
ground ball
56%
spin 5:16
4-seam25% used · 109 pit
2 HR
stuff
4%
swing & miss
8%
contact
92%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
58%
spin 11:02
sinker14% used · 22 pit
0 HR
stuff
5%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
73%
spin 10:40
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 32% here · tap to split by cell
.822
up / mid
.576
4-Seam 52%
.188
contact
90%
Curve 24%
.304
contact
100%
up / in
.270
4-Seam 81%
.290
contact
100%
middle — over the heartworks 19% here · tap to split by cell
.475
middle / mid
.451
4-Seam 38%
.534
contact
92%
Slider 31%
.195
contact
78%
Curve 27%
.403
contact
80%
middle / in
.450
4-Seam 54%
.382
contact
100%
Curve 36%
.490
contact
89%
downworks 49% here · tap to split by cell
.507
down / out
.565
4-Seam 20%
1.024
down / mid
.350
Slider 43%
.453
contact
42%
Curve 33%
.270
contact
79%
4-Seam 15%
.263
contact
100%
down / in
.647
4-Seam 20%
.807
contact
100%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.952——28%3.79
Away0.000——19%3.38
vs LHB1.13114%23%20%—
vs RHB1.03218%16%25%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Lane Thomas R6%›2 Bobby Witt Jr. R20%›3 Jac Caglianone L16%›4 Maikel Garcia R6%›5 Starling Marte 5%›6 Salvador Perez R16%›7 Nick Loftin R4%›8 Carter Jensen L7%›9 Isaac Collins S4%›
WSH lineup · vs Mitch Spence (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Mitch Spence R
KC @ WSH | vs WSH · no data
—
1 James Wood L28%›2 Luis García Jr. L21%›3 Curtis Mead R13%›4 CJ Abrams L19%›5 Dylan Crews R9%›6 Daylen Lile L12%›7 Jacob Young R7%›8 Keibert Ruiz S7%›9 Nasim Nuñez S3%›
NYM @ CINHR boost
Great American Ball Park
7:10p Finalwind 3 mph Out To LF
74°
First pitch & venue
NYM @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · 7:10p Final
Weather
Partly Cloudy · 74°F · wind wind 3 mph Out To LF
HR conditions ×1.21 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
1.18
WindOut To LF
1.02
Temperature74°F
1.01
Top HR plays in this gameJuan Soto NYM29%›JJ Bleday CIN26%›Sal Stewart CIN25%›Eugenio Suárez CIN20%›Spencer Steer CIN20%›
SP: Tobias Myers (R) vs Chase Burns (R)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
NYM lineup · vs Chase Burns (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Chase Burns • RHP (CIN)
NYM @ CIN | vs NYM
7/1 W–L (Tied–11th) • 2.14 ERA (4th) • 88 Ks (Tied–14th) • 0.99 WHIP (6th)
1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 28% K • 2.14 ERA (H 2.23 / A 2.04)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Pitcher summary
Chase Burns carries a 1.28 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (2 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 9 to LHB (1.6/9), 3 to RHB (0.5/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/09 5.1 IP · 105 P0 HR
06/03 6.0 IP · 98 P1 HR
05/26 5.1 IP · 90 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 29%, Baty 17%, Benge 16%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 18%, Bichette 16%, Melendez 14%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.524
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
28%
ParkCIN
1.18
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 9 HR in 201 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
37%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.523
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
30%
ParkCIN
1.18
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 3 HR in 150 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.537
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
25%
ParkCIN
1.18
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam56% used · 790 pit
7 HR
stuff
94%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
33%
spin 12:37
slider36% used · 507 pit
3 HR
stuff
73%
swing & miss
51%
contact
49%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
49%
spin 10:11
change7% used · 94 pit
2 HR
stuff
92%
swing & miss
27%
contact
73%
fly ball
18%
ground ball
35%
spin 1:31
4-seam56% used · 484 pit
5 HR
stuff
94%
swing & miss
17%
contact
83%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
33%
spin 12:37
slider36% used · 243 pit
2 HR
stuff
73%
swing & miss
51%
contact
49%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
49%
spin 10:11
change7% used · 92 pit
2 HR
stuff
92%
swing & miss
27%
contact
73%
fly ball
18%
ground ball
35%
spin 1:31
4-seam56% used · 306 pit
2 HR
stuff
94%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
33%
spin 12:37
slider36% used · 264 pit
1 HR
stuff
73%
swing & miss
52%
contact
48%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
49%
spin 10:11
change7% used · 2 pit
0 HR
stuff
92%
fly ball
18%
ground ball
35%
spin 1:31
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home1.125——25%2.23
Away1.024——35%2.04
vs LHB1.56913%24%30%—
vs RHB0.91314%24%25%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Carson Benge L16%›2 Bo Bichette R16%›3 Juan Soto 29%›4 Jared Young 9%›5 A.J. Ewing L12%›6 Marcus Semien R13%›7 Brett Baty L17%›8 MJ Melendez 14%›9 Francisco Alvarez R18%›
CIN lineup · vs Tobias Myers (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Tobias Myers • RHP (NYM)prime target
NYM @ CIN | vs CIN
0/1 W–L • 4.05 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.08 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 23% K • 4.05 ERA (H 4.41 / A 3.71)
▬ Holding steady
1.24
hittability
Pitcher summary
Tobias Myers carries a 1.53 HR/9 and gave up 1 last time out. HRs allowed: 4 to LHB (1.7/9), 3 to RHB (1.5/9).
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
05/29 1.0 IP · 10 P1 HR
05/27 0.2 IP · 9 P0 HR
05/25 1.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssplit
Most likely to capitalize: Bleday 26%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Stewart 25%, Suárez 20%, Steer 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
25%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.513
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkCIN
1.18
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 88 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
25%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
42%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.512
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
26%
ParkCIN
1.18
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 73 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
23%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.539
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
19%
ParkCIN
1.18
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam48% used · 279 pit
2 HR
stuff
58%
swing & miss
12%
contact
88%
fly ball
28%
ground ball
33%
spin 12:31
split24% used · 138 pit
3 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
34%
contact
66%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
43%
spin 12:34
slider17% used · 100 pit
2 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
16%
ground ball
37%
spin 9:48
cutter12% used · 69 pit
0 HR
stuff
52%
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
12%
ground ball
44%
spin 11:38
4-seam48% used · 179 pit
1 HR
stuff
58%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
28%
ground ball
33%
spin 12:31
split24% used · 103 pit
3 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
29%
contact
71%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
43%
spin 12:34
slider17% used · 30 pit
0 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
16%
ground ball
37%
spin 9:48
cutter12% used · 30 pit
0 HR
stuff
52%
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
12%
ground ball
44%
spin 11:38
4-seam48% used · 100 pit
1 HR
stuff
58%
swing & miss
8%
contact
92%
fly ball
28%
ground ball
33%
spin 12:31
split24% used · 35 pit
0 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
43%
contact
57%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
43%
spin 12:34
slider17% used · 70 pit
2 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
16%
ground ball
37%
spin 9:48
cutter12% used · 39 pit
0 HR
stuff
52%
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
12%
ground ball
44%
spin 11:38
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 26% here · tap to split by cell
.285
up / out
.728
4-Seam 47%
.940
contact
84%
Slider 29%
.689
contact
100%
Cutter 21%
.273
contact
91%
up / mid
.506
4-Seam 59%
.538
contact
85%
Slider 19%
.205
contact
83%
Cutter 15%
1.034
contact
71%
Splitter 8%
.154
contact
100%
up / in
.531
4-Seam 64%
.627
contact
89%
middle — over the heartworks 25% here · tap to split by cell
.742
middle / out
.477
4-Seam 43%
.712
contact
77%
Slider 28%
.712
contact
83%
Cutter 21%
.255
contact
80%
Splitter 8%
.140
contact
80%
middle / mid
.795
4-Seam 62%
.878
contact
100%
Slider 25%
.395
contact
100%
middle / in
.598
4-Seam 57%
.987
contact
100%
Splitter 20%
.058
contact
75%
Slider 12%
.347
contact
100%
downworks 48% here · tap to split by cell
.408
down / out
.460
Slider 45%
.439
contact
82%
Cutter 27%
.442
contact
69%
4-Seam 24%
.467
contact
83%
down / mid
.595
4-Seam 34%
.682
contact
100%
Cutter 25%
.522
contact
64%
Slider 24%
.514
contact
62%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home1.653——19%4.41
Away1.593——20%3.71
vs LHB1.48414%25%26%—
vs RHB1.37313%23%19%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Blake Dunn R8%›2 JJ Bleday L26%›3 Sal Stewart R25%›4 Spencer Steer R20%›5 Eugenio Suárez R20%›6 Noelvi Marte R13%›7 Matt McLain R13%›8 Tyler Stephenson R17%›9 Edwin Arroyo S—›
SD @ STLneutral
Busch Stadium
7:45p Finalwind 5 mph L To R
76°
First pitch & venue
SD @ STL
Busch Stadium · 7:45p Final
Weather
Clear · 76°F · wind wind 5 mph L To R
HR conditions ×0.99 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
0.98
WindL To R
1.00
Temperature76°F
1.01
Top HR plays in this gameManny Machado SD26%›Jordan Walker STL22%›Gavin Sheets SD20%›Alec Burleson STL19%›Fernando Tatis Jr. SD18%›
SP: Wandy Peralta (L) vs Dustin May (R)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
SD lineup · vs Dustin May (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Dustin May • RHP (STL)
SD @ STL | vs SD
4/6 W–L (Tied–59th) • 4.21 ERA (48th) • 66 Ks (Tied–57th) • 1.25 WHIP (42nd)
0.7 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 21% K • 4.21 ERA (H 4.85 / A 3.48)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.86
hittability
Pitcher summary
Dustin May carries a 0.67 HR/9. HRs allowed: 4 to LHB (0.8/9), 1 to RHB (0.3/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/09 6.0 IP · 101 P0 HR
06/02 5.2 IP · 90 P0 HR
05/27 7.0 IP · 87 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
11%
Fly ballsballs in the air
21%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
46%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.497
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
21%
ParkSTL
0.98
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 4 HR in 214 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
12%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
44%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.501
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
21%
ParkSTL
0.98
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 1 HR in 119 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
11%
Fly ballsballs in the air
21%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
46%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.520
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
22%
ParkSTL
0.98
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam25% used · 328 pit
2 HR
stuff
71%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
39%
spin 1:22
cutter21% used · 277 pit
0 HR
stuff
88%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
50%
spin 12:49
sweeper20% used · 262 pit
1 HR
stuff
98%
swing & miss
31%
contact
69%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
40%
spin 7:41
sinker17% used · 222 pit
1 HR
stuff
87%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
69%
spin 1:43
change8% used · 102 pit
1 HR
stuff
87%
swing & miss
5%
contact
95%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
57%
spin 2:12
curve8% used · 98 pit
0 HR
stuff
99%
swing & miss
29%
contact
71%
fly ball
22%
ground ball
44%
spin 7:17
4-seam25% used · 238 pit
2 HR
stuff
71%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
39%
spin 1:22
cutter21% used · 223 pit
0 HR
stuff
88%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
50%
spin 12:49
sweeper20% used · 140 pit
1 HR
stuff
98%
swing & miss
37%
contact
63%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
40%
spin 7:41
sinker17% used · 39 pit
0 HR
stuff
87%
swing & miss
5%
contact
95%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
69%
spin 1:43
change8% used · 101 pit
1 HR
stuff
87%
swing & miss
5%
contact
95%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
57%
spin 2:12
curve8% used · 89 pit
0 HR
stuff
99%
swing & miss
33%
contact
67%
fly ball
22%
ground ball
44%
spin 7:17
4-seam25% used · 90 pit
0 HR
stuff
71%
swing & miss
22%
contact
78%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
39%
spin 1:22
cutter21% used · 54 pit
0 HR
stuff
88%
swing & miss
46%
contact
54%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
50%
spin 12:49
sweeper20% used · 122 pit
0 HR
stuff
98%
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
40%
spin 7:41
sinker17% used · 183 pit
1 HR
stuff
87%
swing & miss
17%
contact
83%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
69%
spin 1:43
change8% used · 1 pit
0 HR
stuff
87%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
57%
spin 2:12
curve8% used · 9 pit
0 HR
stuff
99%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
22%
ground ball
44%
spin 7:17
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 27% here · tap to split by cell
.382
up / out
.769
4-Seam 45%
.306
contact
93%
Cutter 21%
.728
contact
75%
up / mid
.385
4-Seam 41%
.252
contact
70%
Sinker 26%
.366
contact
80%
Cutter 21%
.526
contact
64%
Sweeper 12%
.597
contact
100%
up / in
.464
Sinker 47%
.536
contact
81%
middle — over the heartworks 22% here · tap to split by cell
.439
middle / out
.491
Sweeper 38%
.496
contact
84%
Sinker 26%
.677
contact
100%
4-Seam 20%
.371
contact
87%
Cutter 14%
.279
contact
67%
middle / mid
.617
Sinker 49%
.571
contact
94%
Sweeper 34%
.780
contact
92%
middle / in
.394
Sinker 65%
.439
contact
97%
Sweeper 28%
.320
contact
94%
4-Seam 8%
.229
contact
100%
downworks 51% here · tap to split by cell
.582
down / out
.488
Sweeper 61%
.471
contact
58%
Sinker 27%
.627
contact
81%
Cutter 9%
.341
contact
46%
down / mid
.534
Sinker 65%
.465
contact
88%
Sweeper 27%
.646
contact
100%
down / in
.822
Sinker 75%
.897
contact
87%
Sweeper 21%
.595
contact
100%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.231——20%4.85
Away1.074——24%3.48
vs LHB0.84412%22%21%—
vs RHB0.67111%21%22%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. R18%›2 Jackson Merrill L14%›3 Manny Machado R26%›4 Gavin Sheets L20%›5 Xander Bogaerts R6%›6 Will Wagner L—›7 Ty France R14%›8 Sung-Mun Song L5%›9 Rodolfo Durán R12%›
STL lineup · vs Wandy Peralta (LHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Wandy Peralta • LHP (SD)
SD @ STL | vs STL
1/0 W–L • 2.18 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.42 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 16% FB • 18% K • 2.18 ERA (H 1.62 / A 2.76)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.73
hittability
Pitcher summary
Wandy Peralta carries a 0.90 HR/9.
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/12 1.2 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/10 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/07 1.0 IP · 27 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Burleson 19%, Wetherholt 13%, Church 4%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Walker 22%, Herrera 17%, Winn 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
11%
Fly ballsballs in the air
16%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
37%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.492
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
18%
ParkSTL
0.98
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 77 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
12%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
39%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.506
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
21%
ParkSTL
0.98
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 69 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
12%
Fly ballsballs in the air
17%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
38%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.516
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
16%
ParkSTL
0.98
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
sinker39% used · 218 pit
2 HR
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
49%
change35% used · 200 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
56%
slider17% used · 94 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
18%
ground ball
55%
4-seam9% used · 52 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
12%
ground ball
50%
sinker39% used · 150 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
49%
change35% used · 65 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
56%
slider17% used · 75 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
18%
ground ball
55%
4-seam9% used · 19 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
12%
ground ball
50%
sinker39% used · 68 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
8%
contact
92%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
49%
change35% used · 135 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
33%
contact
67%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
56%
slider17% used · 19 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
18%
ground ball
55%
4-seam9% used · 33 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
17%
contact
83%
fly ball
12%
ground ball
50%
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 23% here · tap to split by cell
.220
up / mid
.880
Sinker 67%
.790
contact
75%
up / in
.320
Sinker 87%
.320
contact
94%
middle — over the heartworks 16% here · tap to split by cell
.750
middle / out
.451
Sinker 49%
.491
contact
100%
Slider 47%
.370
contact
73%
middle / mid
.830
Sinker 57%
.420
contact
100%
Change 17%
1.766
contact
67%
middle / in
.280
Sinker 72%
.290
contact
91%
downworks 60% here · tap to split by cell
.364
down / out
.202
Slider 60%
.196
contact
45%
Sinker 33%
.224
contact
80%
down / mid
.563
Sinker 43%
.440
contact
88%
Slider 29%
.614
contact
54%
Change 24%
.849
contact
79%
down / in
.504
Sinker 54%
.245
contact
67%
Change 41%
.945
contact
64%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.541——11%1.62
Away1.102——22%2.76
vs LHB1.10212%20%21%—
vs RHB0.90112%17%16%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 JJ Wetherholt L13%›2 Iván Herrera R17%›3 Alec Burleson L19%›4 Jordan Walker R22%›5 Lars Nootbaar L—›6 Masyn Winn R4%›7 Jimmy Crooks L—›8 Blaze Jordan R—›9 Nathan Church L4%›
MIN @ TEXfavorable
Globe Life Field
8:05p Finalweather n/a
74°
First pitch & venue
MIN @ TEX
Globe Life Field · 8:05p Final
Weather
Roof Closed · 74°F
HR conditions ×1.04 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
1.04
WindNone
1.00
Temperature74°F
1.00
Top HR plays in this gameByron Buxton MIN29%›Kody Clemens MIN20%›Jake Burger TEX17%›Brandon Nimmo TEX16%›Joc Pederson TEX14%›
SP: Mike Paredes (R) vs MacKenzie Gore (L)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
MIN lineup · vs MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
MacKenzie Gore • LHP (TEX)
MIN @ TEX | vs MIN
4/5 W–L (Tied–59th) • 4.18 ERA (47th) • 76 Ks (Tied–35th) • 1.35 WHIP (57th)
0.6 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 22% FB • 23% K • 4.18 ERA (H 2.08 / A 5.75)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.93
hittability
Pitcher summary
MacKenzie Gore carries a 0.64 HR/9. HRs allowed: 5 to RHB (0.8/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/10 5.0 IP · 87 P0 HR
06/03 4.2 IP · 100 P0 HR
05/29 6.1 IP · 99 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 20%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Bell 12%, Lewis 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
44%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.531
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkTEX
1.04
vs LHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 91 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
42%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.505
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
21%
ParkTEX
1.04
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 5 HR in 257 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.550
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkTEX
1.04
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam43% used · 603 pit
2 HR
stuff
50%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
38%
spin 11:00
curve22% used · 305 pit
1 HR
stuff
23%
swing & miss
29%
contact
71%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
47%
spin 5:02
slider10% used · 141 pit
0 HR
stuff
12%
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
39%
spin 3:27
change10% used · 140 pit
0 HR
stuff
82%
swing & miss
28%
contact
72%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
46%
spin 10:08
cutter8% used · 117 pit
2 HR
stuff
19%
swing & miss
26%
contact
74%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
21%
spin 11:27
sinker6% used · 83 pit
0 HR
stuff
73%
swing & miss
11%
contact
89%
fly ball
6%
ground ball
61%
spin 11:00
4-seam43% used · 113 pit
0 HR
stuff
50%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
38%
spin 11:00
curve22% used · 29 pit
0 HR
stuff
23%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
47%
spin 5:02
slider10% used · 138 pit
0 HR
stuff
12%
swing & miss
29%
contact
71%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
39%
spin 3:27
change10% used · 1 pit
0 HR
stuff
82%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
46%
spin 10:08
cutter8% used · 1 pit
0 HR
stuff
19%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
21%
spin 11:27
sinker6% used · 69 pit
0 HR
stuff
73%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
6%
ground ball
61%
spin 11:00
4-seam43% used · 490 pit
2 HR
stuff
50%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
38%
spin 11:00
curve22% used · 276 pit
1 HR
stuff
23%
swing & miss
31%
contact
69%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
47%
spin 5:02
slider10% used · 3 pit
0 HR
stuff
12%
swing & miss
100%
contact
0%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
39%
spin 3:27
change10% used · 139 pit
0 HR
stuff
82%
swing & miss
28%
contact
72%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
46%
spin 10:08
cutter8% used · 116 pit
2 HR
stuff
19%
swing & miss
26%
contact
74%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
21%
spin 11:27
sinker6% used · 14 pit
0 HR
stuff
73%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
6%
ground ball
61%
spin 11:00
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 40% here · tap to split by cell
.386
up / out
.584
4-Seam 67%
.661
contact
66%
Change 18%
.371
contact
76%
up / mid
.556
4-Seam 84%
.496
contact
79%
Curve 8%
.685
contact
86%
Cutter 4%
.654
contact
38%
Change 3%
.830
contact
86%
up / in
.297
4-Seam 82%
.304
contact
81%
middle — over the heartworks 21% here · tap to split by cell
.595
middle / out
.551
4-Seam 42%
.645
contact
83%
Change 28%
.447
contact
71%
Curve 28%
.555
contact
96%
middle / mid
.684
4-Seam 66%
.657
contact
93%
Curve 19%
.544
contact
100%
Change 9%
1.217
contact
75%
Cutter 5%
.800
contact
91%
middle / in
.615
4-Seam 72%
.599
contact
92%
Cutter 15%
.843
contact
84%
Curve 14%
.437
contact
100%
downworks 39% here · tap to split by cell
.667
down / out
.521
Curve 41%
.710
contact
77%
Change 39%
.386
contact
43%
4-Seam 20%
.459
contact
100%
down / mid
.710
Curve 51%
.662
contact
66%
4-Seam 27%
1.012
contact
98%
Change 19%
.358
contact
48%
down / in
.607
Curve 46%
.724
contact
47%
4-Seam 24%
.480
contact
91%
Cutter 16%
1.038
contact
43%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.893——28%2.08
Away0.663——23%5.75
vs LHB0.56013%20%21%—
vs RHB0.85514%24%23%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Austin Martin R4%›2 Byron Buxton R29%›3 Kody Clemens L20%›4 Royce Lewis R10%›5 Josh Bell S12%›6 Kyler Fedko R—›7 Luke Keaschall 5%›8 Ryan Kreidler R6%›9 Alex Jackson R5%›
TEX lineup · vs Mike Paredes (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Mike Paredes R
MIN @ TEX | vs TEX · no data
—
1 Joc Pederson L14%›2 Josh Jung R14%›3 Wyatt Langford R12%›4 Brandon Nimmo L16%›5 Jake Burger R17%›6 Alejandro Osuna L4%›7 Cody Freeman R—›8 Nicky Lopez L4%›9 Elias Díaz 12%›
COL @ CHCfavorable
Wrigley Field
8:05p In Progresswind 10 mph Out To RF
76°
First pitch & venue
COL @ CHC
Wrigley Field · 8:05p In Progress
Weather
Partly Cloudy · 76°F · wind wind 10 mph Out To RF
HR conditions ×1.04 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
0.97
WindOut To RF
1.06
Temperature76°F
1.01
Top HR plays in this gamePete Crow-Armstrong CHC29%›Hunter Goodman COL29%›Michael Busch CHC28%›Ian Happ CHC27%›Seiya Suzuki CHC26%›
SP: Michael Lorenzen (R) vs Shota Imanaga (L)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
COL lineup · vs Shota Imanaga (LHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Shota Imanaga • LHP (CHC)
COL @ CHC | vs COL
4/6 W–L (Tied–59th) • 4.44 ERA (59th) • 81 Ks (Tied–22nd) • 1.06 WHIP (16th)
1.8 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 4.44 ERA (H 5.13 / A 3.48)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.07
hittability
Pitcher summary
Shota Imanaga carries a 1.82 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (7 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 5 to LHB (2.0/9), 14 to RHB (1.9/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/10 5.0 IP · 90 P0 HR
06/04 6.0 IP · 84 P4 HR
05/29 5.1 IP · 75 P3 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rumfield 11%, McCarthy 6%
vs righty batssplit · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 29%, Tovar 22%, Castro 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
26%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.551
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
24%
ParkCHC
0.97
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 5 HR in 112 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
17%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
42%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.580
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
27%
ParkCHC
0.97
vs RHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 14 HR in 265 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
25%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
39%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.533
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
22%
ParkCHC
0.97
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam43% used · 631 pit
6 HR
stuff
77%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
24%
spin 10:54
split34% used · 492 pit
8 HR
stuff
27%
swing & miss
40%
contact
60%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
48%
spin 10:22
sweeper14% used · 198 pit
3 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
39%
contact
61%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
25%
spin 4:01
sinker7% used · 100 pit
2 HR
stuff
55%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
23%
ground ball
57%
spin 10:37
4-seam43% used · 157 pit
1 HR
stuff
77%
swing & miss
12%
contact
88%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
24%
spin 10:54
split34% used · 64 pit
0 HR
stuff
27%
swing & miss
59%
contact
41%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
48%
spin 10:22
sweeper14% used · 144 pit
3 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
44%
contact
56%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
25%
spin 4:01
sinker7% used · 35 pit
1 HR
stuff
55%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
23%
ground ball
57%
spin 10:37
4-seam43% used · 474 pit
5 HR
stuff
77%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
29%
ground ball
24%
spin 10:54
split34% used · 428 pit
8 HR
stuff
27%
swing & miss
37%
contact
63%
fly ball
27%
ground ball
48%
spin 10:22
sweeper14% used · 54 pit
0 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
24%
contact
76%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
25%
spin 4:01
sinker7% used · 65 pit
1 HR
stuff
55%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
23%
ground ball
57%
spin 10:37
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home2.2812——23%5.13
Away1.345——27%3.48
vs LHB1.49517%24%27%—
vs RHB1.821414%25%22%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Willi Castro S15%›2 Tyler Freeman R8%›3 TJ Rumfield L11%›4 Hunter Goodman R29%›5 Ezequiel Tovar 22%›6 Cole Carrigg S—›7 Jake McCarthy L6%›8 Kyle Karros 12%›9 Braxton Fulford 12%›
CHC lineup · vs Michael Lorenzen (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Michael Lorenzen • RHP (COL)
COL @ CHC | vs CHC
2/8 W–L • 7.54 ERA • 55 Ks (Tied–90th) • 1.90 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 17% K • 7.54 ERA (H 8.44 / A 6.68)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.95
hittability
Pitcher summary
Michael Lorenzen carries a 1.54 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (1 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 10 to LHB (2.6/9), 5 to RHB (0.7/9). 7.54 ERA.
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/10 5.0 IP · 84 P0 HR
06/03 3.1 IP · 85 P1 HR
05/29 3.2 IP · 70 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 29%, Busch 28%, Happ 27%
vs righty batsslider · change
Most likely to capitalize: Suzuki 26%, Swanson 12%, Bregman 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
23%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
45%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.585
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
17%
ParkCHC
0.97
vs LHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 10 HR in 173 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
18%
Fly ballsballs in the air
27%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.662
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
19%
ParkCHC
0.97
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 5 HR in 185 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
44%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.497
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
18%
ParkCHC
0.97
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
change20% used · 271 pit
3 HR
stuff
61%
swing & miss
33%
contact
67%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
42%
spin 2:03
4-seam19% used · 260 pit
6 HR
stuff
46%
swing & miss
9%
contact
91%
fly ball
37%
ground ball
42%
spin 1:27
sinker16% used · 212 pit
0 HR
stuff
42%
swing & miss
11%
contact
89%
fly ball
7%
ground ball
66%
spin 1:34
cutter14% used · 194 pit
1 HR
stuff
48%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
26%
ground ball
48%
spin 1:01
curve14% used · 183 pit
2 HR
stuff
32%
swing & miss
22%
contact
78%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
68%
spin 6:55
slider9% used · 122 pit
2 HR
stuff
13%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
32%
spin 9:51
sweeper8% used · 107 pit
1 HR
stuff
4%
swing & miss
37%
contact
63%
fly ball
36%
ground ball
36%
spin 7:59
change20% used · 188 pit
1 HR
stuff
61%
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
42%
spin 2:03
4-seam19% used · 146 pit
6 HR
stuff
46%
swing & miss
8%
contact
92%
fly ball
37%
ground ball
42%
spin 1:27
sinker16% used · 70 pit
0 HR
stuff
42%
swing & miss
17%
contact
83%
fly ball
7%
ground ball
66%
spin 1:34
cutter14% used · 104 pit
1 HR
stuff
48%
swing & miss
11%
contact
89%
fly ball
26%
ground ball
48%
spin 1:01
curve14% used · 97 pit
2 HR
stuff
32%
swing & miss
28%
contact
72%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
68%
spin 6:55
slider9% used · 43 pit
0 HR
stuff
13%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
32%
spin 9:51
sweeper8% used · 13 pit
0 HR
stuff
4%
swing & miss
50%
contact
50%
fly ball
36%
ground ball
36%
spin 7:59
change20% used · 83 pit
2 HR
stuff
61%
swing & miss
38%
contact
62%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
42%
spin 2:03
4-seam19% used · 114 pit
0 HR
stuff
46%
swing & miss
10%
contact
90%
fly ball
37%
ground ball
42%
spin 1:27
sinker16% used · 142 pit
0 HR
stuff
42%
swing & miss
9%
contact
91%
fly ball
7%
ground ball
66%
spin 1:34
cutter14% used · 90 pit
0 HR
stuff
48%
swing & miss
24%
contact
76%
fly ball
26%
ground ball
48%
spin 1:01
curve14% used · 86 pit
0 HR
stuff
32%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
13%
ground ball
68%
spin 6:55
slider9% used · 79 pit
2 HR
stuff
13%
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
32%
spin 9:51
sweeper8% used · 94 pit
1 HR
stuff
4%
swing & miss
36%
contact
64%
fly ball
36%
ground ball
36%
spin 7:59
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 31% here · tap to split by cell
.473
up / out
.564
4-Seam 51%
.716
contact
83%
Sweeper 13%
.254
contact
78%
Slider 10%
.239
contact
75%
up / mid
.682
4-Seam 36%
.653
contact
80%
Sinker 19%
.604
contact
90%
Sweeper 14%
1.165
contact
79%
Cutter 13%
.409
contact
100%
Slider 9%
1.009
contact
75%
up / in
.505
Sinker 41%
.377
contact
94%
4-Seam 15%
.802
contact
90%
middle — over the heartworks 21% here · tap to split by cell
.344
middle / out
.525
Cutter 20%
.444
contact
83%
Sweeper 18%
.156
contact
84%
Slider 17%
.634
contact
83%
middle / mid
.582
Sinker 25%
.484
contact
90%
Slider 22%
.791
contact
90%
Sweeper 17%
.655
contact
88%
4-Seam 14%
.569
contact
94%
Cutter 14%
.388
contact
71%
Change 6%
.292
contact
86%
middle / in
.395
Sinker 40%
.380
contact
92%
Change 20%
.131
contact
63%
Cutter 10%
.382
4-Seam 10%
.711
contact
100%
Curve 10%
.228
contact
100%
downworks 48% here · tap to split by cell
.465
down / out
.405
Slider 20%
.393
contact
58%
Sweeper 20%
.343
contact
64%
Sinker 16%
.406
contact
82%
Curve 12%
.381
contact
47%
Cutter 11%
.392
contact
50%
4-Seam 8%
.499
contact
100%
down / mid
.606
Sinker 31%
.735
contact
90%
Change 19%
.235
contact
56%
Sweeper 15%
.615
contact
77%
Slider 11%
.332
contact
93%
Curve 10%
.293
contact
82%
4-Seam 8%
1.843
contact
100%
Cutter 5%
.465
contact
70%
down / in
.798
Sinker 52%
.394
contact
88%
Change 24%
1.194
contact
56%
Curve 5%
1.722
contact
100%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home1.415——16%8.44
Away1.606——19%6.68
vs LHB1.881018%27%19%—
vs RHB1.08513%20%18%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong L29%›2 Alex Bregman R9%›3 Michael Busch L28%›4 Seiya Suzuki R26%›5 Ian Happ S27%›6 Nico Hoerner R4%›7 Moisés Ballesteros 12%›8 Matt Shaw R7%›9 Dansby Swanson R12%›
DET @ HOUfavorable
Daikin Park
8:10p In Progressweather n/a
73°
First pitch & venue
DET @ HOU
Daikin Park · 8:10p In Progress
Weather
Roof Closed · 73°F
HR conditions ×1.03 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
1.03
WindNone
1.00
Temperature73°F
1.00
Top HR plays in this gameYordan Alvarez HOU29%›Riley Greene DET26%›Dillon Dingler DET26%›Christian Walker HOU23%›Kerry Carpenter DET21%›
SP: Drew Anderson (R) vs Kai-Wei Teng (R)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
DET lineup · vs Kai-Wei Teng (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Kai-Wei Teng • RHP (HOU)
DET @ HOU | vs DET
3/5 W–L • 3.71 ERA • 49 Ks • 1.27 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 22% FB • 21% K • 3.71 ERA (H 3.46 / A 3.96)
▬ Holding steady
0.80
hittability
Pitcher summary
Kai-Wei Teng carries a 1.27 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (3 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 6 to LHB (1.9/9), 2 to RHB (0.3/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/09 4.0 IP · 93 P0 HR
06/04 5.0 IP · 87 P1 HR
05/29 5.0 IP · 91 P2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · change
Most likely to capitalize: Greene 26%, McGonigle 17%, Keith 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Dingler 26%, Carpenter 21%, Torkelson 21%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
11%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.501
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
21%
ParkHOU
1.03
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 6 HR in 124 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
25%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.547
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
20%
ParkHOU
1.03
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 2 HR in 111 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
11%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.481
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkHOU
1.03
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
sweeper36% used · 332 pit
3 HR
stuff
71%
swing & miss
33%
contact
67%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
50%
spin 7:52
4-seam26% used · 241 pit
4 HR
stuff
52%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
39%
ground ball
47%
spin 1:46
sinker17% used · 157 pit
0 HR
stuff
54%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
47%
spin 1:45
change10% used · 93 pit
1 HR
stuff
65%
swing & miss
22%
contact
78%
fly ball
11%
ground ball
58%
spin 2:04
curve9% used · 88 pit
0 HR
stuff
88%
swing & miss
35%
contact
65%
fly ball
0%
ground ball
43%
spin 7:22
sweeper36% used · 136 pit
1 HR
stuff
71%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
50%
spin 7:52
4-seam26% used · 138 pit
4 HR
stuff
52%
swing & miss
17%
contact
83%
fly ball
39%
ground ball
47%
spin 1:46
sinker17% used · 39 pit
0 HR
stuff
54%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
47%
spin 1:45
change10% used · 84 pit
1 HR
stuff
65%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
11%
ground ball
58%
spin 2:04
curve9% used · 70 pit
0 HR
stuff
88%
swing & miss
38%
contact
62%
fly ball
0%
ground ball
43%
spin 7:22
sweeper36% used · 196 pit
2 HR
stuff
71%
swing & miss
33%
contact
67%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
50%
spin 7:52
4-seam26% used · 103 pit
0 HR
stuff
52%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
39%
ground ball
47%
spin 1:46
sinker17% used · 118 pit
0 HR
stuff
54%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
47%
spin 1:45
change10% used · 9 pit
0 HR
stuff
65%
swing & miss
50%
contact
50%
fly ball
11%
ground ball
58%
spin 2:04
curve9% used · 18 pit
0 HR
stuff
88%
swing & miss
20%
contact
80%
fly ball
0%
ground ball
43%
spin 7:22
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 37% here · tap to split by cell
.453
up / out
.683
4-Seam 48%
1.143
contact
77%
up / mid
.307
4-Seam 49%
.433
contact
83%
Sweeper 26%
.025
contact
89%
up / in
.293
Sweeper 35%
.490
contact
67%
middle — over the heartworks 20% here · tap to split by cell
.879
middle / out
.425
Sweeper 28%
.508
contact
86%
middle / mid
.899
Sweeper 38%
.968
contact
100%
4-Seam 31%
.690
contact
78%
middle / in
.481
Sweeper 56%
.375
contact
70%
4-Seam 20%
.517
contact
100%
downworks 43% here · tap to split by cell
.425
down / out
.420
Change 59%
.447
contact
67%
down / mid
.406
Change 36%
.667
contact
75%
Curve 20%
.381
contact
100%
Sweeper 16%
.307
contact
100%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home1.735——23%3.46
Away0.361——23%3.96
vs LHB1.59613%25%20%—
vs RHB0.90211%20%23%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Kevin McGonigle L17%›2 Gleyber Torres 6%›3 Kerry Carpenter 21%›4 Riley Greene L26%›5 Dillon Dingler R26%›6 Colt Keith L10%›7 Spencer Torkelson R21%›8 Zach McKinstry L4%›9 James Outman L9%›
HOU lineup · vs Drew Anderson (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Drew Anderson • RHP (DET)
DET @ HOU | vs HOU
2/3 W–L • 3.92 ERA • 53 Ks (Tied–93rd) • 1.28 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 28% K • 3.92 ERA (H 1.90 / A 6.30)
▬ Holding steady
0.71
hittability
Pitcher summary
Drew Anderson carries a 1.08 HR/9. HRs allowed: 3 to LHB (1.2/9), 3 to RHB (1.3/9).
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/12 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
06/09 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/07 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 29%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Walker 23%, Smith 19%, Peña 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.494
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
28%
ParkHOU
1.03
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 3 HR in 114 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
11%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
38%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.454
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
28%
ParkHOU
1.03
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 3 HR in 104 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
17%
Fly ballsballs in the air
21%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.574
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
27%
ParkHOU
1.03
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam41% used · 352 pit
2 HR
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
38%
change31% used · 269 pit
3 HR
swing & miss
34%
contact
66%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
51%
curve22% used · 187 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
6%
ground ball
65%
slider6% used · 50 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
20%
contact
80%
fly ball
30%
ground ball
40%
4-seam41% used · 195 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
38%
change31% used · 153 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
51%
curve22% used · 107 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
37%
contact
63%
fly ball
6%
ground ball
65%
slider6% used · 14 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
12%
contact
88%
fly ball
30%
ground ball
40%
4-seam41% used · 157 pit
1 HR
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
38%
change31% used · 116 pit
2 HR
swing & miss
39%
contact
61%
fly ball
21%
ground ball
51%
curve22% used · 80 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
6%
ground ball
65%
slider6% used · 36 pit
0 HR
swing & miss
24%
contact
76%
fly ball
30%
ground ball
40%
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 34% here · tap to split by cell
.922
up / mid
.771
4-Seam 93%
.771
contact
61%
up / in
1.355
4-Seam 55%
1.355
contact
89%
middle — over the heartworks 18% here · tap to split by cell
.627
middle / mid
.596
Curve 22%
.749
contact
100%
middle / in
.726
Change 52%
1.082
contact
88%
4-Seam 28%
.592
contact
80%
downworks 48% here · tap to split by cell
.478
down / mid
.560
Change 44%
.194
contact
69%
Curve 31%
.290
contact
90%
down / in
.105
Change 64%
.139
contact
43%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.762——27%1.90
Away1.804——30%6.30
vs LHB1.08311%22%28%—
vs RHB1.14317%21%27%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Jeremy Peña R15%›2 Yordan Alvarez L29%›3 Christian Walker R23%›4 Isaac Paredes R9%›5 Jose Altuve R8%›6 Taylor Trammell 6%›7 Cam Smith R19%›8 Brice Matthews R8%›9 Christian Vázquez R4%›
PIT @ ATHneutral
Sutter Health Park
9:40p Player challengewind 11 mph Out To LF
86°
First pitch & venue
PIT @ ATH
Sutter Health Park · 9:40p Player challenge
Weather
Clear · 86°F · wind wind 11 mph Out To LF
HR conditions ×1.02 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
0.93
WindOut To LF
1.07
Temperature86°F
1.03
Top HR plays in this gameNick Kurtz ATH28%›Brandon Lowe PIT28%›Shea Langeliers ATH28%›Tyler Soderstrom ATH24%›Tyler Callihan PIT21%›
SP: Jared Jones (R) vs J.T. Ginn (R)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
PIT lineup · vs J.T. Ginn (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
J.T. Ginn • RHP (ATH)
PIT @ ATH | vs PIT
4/3 W–L (Tied–59th) • 3.15 ERA (19th) • 65 Ks (Tied–61st) • 1.15 WHIP (29th)
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 20% FB • 23% K • 3.15 ERA (H 4.70 / A 1.99)
▬ Holding steady
0.72
hittability
Pitcher summary
J.T. Ginn carries a 1.23 HR/9 and gave up 1 last time out (2 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 7 to LHB (1.1/9), 4 to RHB (0.8/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/09 5.2 IP · 97 P1 HR
06/04 6.0 IP · 88 P1 HR
05/30 6.0 IP · 80 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Lowe 28%, Callihan 21%, O'Hearn 15%
vs righty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Valdez 12%, Gonzales 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
12%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
39%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.505
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkATH
0.93
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 7 HR in 200 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.534
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
21%
ParkATH
0.93
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 4 HR in 139 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
10%
Fly ballsballs in the air
22%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
38%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.490
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
25%
ParkATH
0.93
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
sinker36% used · 470 pit
3 HR
stuff
12%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
52%
spin 1:22
change19% used · 240 pit
0 HR
stuff
31%
swing & miss
34%
contact
66%
fly ball
10%
ground ball
67%
spin 1:46
cutter18% used · 232 pit
3 HR
stuff
33%
swing & miss
20%
contact
80%
fly ball
31%
ground ball
42%
spin 1:16
slider15% used · 199 pit
4 HR
stuff
42%
swing & miss
34%
contact
66%
fly ball
23%
ground ball
37%
spin 7:17
4-seam12% used · 149 pit
1 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
20%
contact
80%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
48%
spin 1:22
sinker36% used · 184 pit
2 HR
stuff
12%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
52%
spin 1:22
change19% used · 215 pit
0 HR
stuff
31%
swing & miss
35%
contact
65%
fly ball
10%
ground ball
67%
spin 1:46
cutter18% used · 161 pit
3 HR
stuff
33%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
31%
ground ball
42%
spin 1:16
slider15% used · 87 pit
2 HR
stuff
42%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
23%
ground ball
37%
spin 7:17
4-seam12% used · 115 pit
0 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
48%
spin 1:22
sinker36% used · 286 pit
1 HR
stuff
12%
swing & miss
17%
contact
83%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
52%
spin 1:22
change19% used · 25 pit
0 HR
stuff
31%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
10%
ground ball
67%
spin 1:46
cutter18% used · 71 pit
0 HR
stuff
33%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
31%
ground ball
42%
spin 1:16
slider15% used · 112 pit
2 HR
stuff
42%
swing & miss
36%
contact
64%
fly ball
23%
ground ball
37%
spin 7:17
4-seam12% used · 34 pit
1 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
35%
contact
65%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
48%
spin 1:22
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.883——15%4.70
Away1.115——29%1.99
vs LHB1.29715%20%21%—
vs RHB1.13410%22%25%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Spencer Horwitz L11%›2 Brandon Lowe L28%›3 Bryan Reynolds S14%›4 Ryan O'Hearn L15%›5 Nick Gonzales R6%›6 Endy Rodríguez S14%›7 Tyler Callihan L21%›8 Jake Mangum S3%›9 Esmerlyn Valdez R12%›
ATH lineup · vs Jared Jones (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Jared Jones R
PIT @ ATH | vs ATH · no data
—
1 Nick Kurtz L28%›2 Shea Langeliers R28%›3 Tyler Soderstrom L24%›4 Jacob Wilson R5%›5 Carlos Cortes L11%›6 Zack Gelof R20%›7 Lawrence Butler L12%›8 Henry Bolte R9%›9 Jeff McNeil L6%›
LAA @ ARIneutral
Chase Field
9:40p In Progressweather n/a
78°
First pitch & venue
LAA @ ARI
Chase Field · 9:40p In Progress
Weather
Roof Closed · 78°F
HR conditions ×1.00 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
1.00
WindNone
1.00
Temperature78°F
1.00
Top HR plays in this gameJo Adell LAA27%›Corbin Carroll ARI27%›Zach Neto LAA27%›Mike Trout LAA27%›Ketel Marte ARI25%›
SP: Walbert Ureña (R) vs Ryne Nelson (R)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
LAA lineup · vs Ryne Nelson (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Ryne Nelson • RHP (ARI)prime target
LAA @ ARI | vs LAA
2/5 W–L • 5.19 ERA (66th) • 57 Ks (Tied–84th) • 1.23 WHIP (41st)
1.8 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 31% FB • 20% K • 5.19 ERA (H 5.35 / A 5.02)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.19
hittability
Pitcher summary
Ryne Nelson carries a 1.83 HR/9 and gave up 2 last time out (6 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 11 to LHB (2.2/9), 6 to RHB (1.8/9). 5.19 ERA.
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/10 4.0 IP · 82 P2 HR
06/04 7.0 IP · 94 P0 HR
05/30 5.1 IP · 99 P4 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Meckler 12%, Walton 8%, Schanuel 7%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Adell 27%, Neto 27%, Trout 27%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
31%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
44%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.626
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
20%
ParkARI
1.00
vs LHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 11 HR in 196 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
17%
Fly ballsballs in the air
30%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
41%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.627
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
18%
ParkARI
1.00
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 8 HR in 179 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
29%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
45%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.584
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkARI
1.00
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam58% used · 802 pit
9 HR
stuff
77%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
32%
ground ball
38%
spin 12:22
slider19% used · 258 pit
5 HR
stuff
58%
swing & miss
24%
contact
76%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
46%
spin 10:02
curve10% used · 140 pit
1 HR
stuff
31%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:17
cutter10% used · 137 pit
2 HR
stuff
94%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
29%
spin 11:58
4-seam58% used · 448 pit
6 HR
stuff
77%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
32%
ground ball
38%
spin 12:22
slider19% used · 76 pit
2 HR
stuff
58%
swing & miss
26%
contact
74%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
46%
spin 10:02
curve10% used · 120 pit
1 HR
stuff
31%
swing & miss
20%
contact
80%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:17
cutter10% used · 111 pit
2 HR
stuff
94%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
29%
spin 11:58
4-seam58% used · 354 pit
3 HR
stuff
77%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
32%
ground ball
38%
spin 12:22
slider19% used · 182 pit
3 HR
stuff
58%
swing & miss
24%
contact
76%
fly ball
19%
ground ball
46%
spin 10:02
curve10% used · 20 pit
0 HR
stuff
31%
swing & miss
25%
contact
75%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:17
cutter10% used · 26 pit
0 HR
stuff
94%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
29%
spin 11:58
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 42% here · tap to split by cell
.647
up / out
.581
4-Seam 77%
.574
contact
81%
up / mid
.719
4-Seam 84%
.653
contact
75%
Cutter 4%
1.765
contact
100%
Sinker 4%
.650
contact
88%
up / in
.437
4-Seam 89%
.464
contact
67%
middle — over the heartworks 22% here · tap to split by cell
.646
middle / out
.498
4-Seam 55%
.568
contact
97%
Slider 20%
.526
contact
81%
Cutter 17%
.241
contact
93%
middle / mid
.773
4-Seam 63%
.734
contact
90%
Slider 20%
.876
contact
96%
Cutter 9%
.880
contact
100%
Curve 4%
.882
contact
100%
Sinker 3%
.379
contact
100%
middle / in
.721
4-Seam 72%
.827
contact
95%
Slider 17%
.353
contact
100%
downworks 36% here · tap to split by cell
.494
down / out
.446
Slider 51%
.428
contact
50%
4-Seam 24%
.661
contact
93%
Curve 14%
.216
contact
71%
Cutter 10%
.093
contact
53%
down / mid
.522
Slider 43%
.555
contact
72%
4-Seam 37%
.469
contact
98%
Curve 11%
.446
contact
87%
Cutter 7%
.736
contact
80%
down / in
.495
4-Seam 71%
.581
contact
91%
Slider 21%
.361
contact
100%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home1.637——14%5.35
Away2.3910——21%5.02
vs LHB1.861117%30%18%—
vs RHB1.54813%29%23%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Zach Neto R27%›2 Mike Trout R27%›3 Wade Meckler L12%›4 Jo Adell R27%›5 Nolan Schanuel L7%›6 Denzer Guzman R—›7 Logan O'Hoppe R9%›8 Donovan Walton L8%›9 Oswald Peraza R8%›
ARI lineup · vs Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Walbert Ureña • RHP (LAA)
LAA @ ARI | vs ARI
4/4 W–L (Tied–59th) • 2.44 ERA • 55 Ks (Tied–90th) • 1.36 WHIP
0.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 19% FB • 22% K • 2.44 ERA (H 1.85 / A 3.86)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.73
hittability
Pitcher summary
Walbert Ureña carries a 0.55 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (2 over his last 3).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/09 5.0 IP · 107 P0 HR
06/03 6.0 IP · 99 P1 HR
05/29 6.0 IP · 92 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 25%, Perdomo 6%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 11%, Jr. 7%, Arenado 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
12%
Fly ballsballs in the air
19%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
33%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.437
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
22%
ParkARI
1.00
vs LHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 1 HR in 140 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
10%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
36%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.448
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
22%
ParkARI
1.00
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 2 HR in 139 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
20%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
35%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.491
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
23%
ParkARI
1.00
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
sinker33% used · 355 pit
2 HR
stuff
72%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
69%
spin 1:30
change31% used · 332 pit
1 HR
stuff
93%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
46%
spin 1:51
4-seam21% used · 224 pit
0 HR
stuff
45%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
52%
spin 1:26
sweeper16% used · 172 pit
0 HR
stuff
18%
swing & miss
31%
contact
69%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:43
sinker33% used · 156 pit
0 HR
stuff
72%
swing & miss
19%
contact
81%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
69%
spin 1:30
change31% used · 232 pit
1 HR
stuff
93%
swing & miss
26%
contact
74%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
46%
spin 1:51
4-seam21% used · 126 pit
0 HR
stuff
45%
swing & miss
24%
contact
76%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
52%
spin 1:26
sweeper16% used · 49 pit
0 HR
stuff
18%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:43
sinker33% used · 199 pit
2 HR
stuff
72%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
9%
ground ball
69%
spin 1:30
change31% used · 100 pit
0 HR
stuff
93%
swing & miss
43%
contact
57%
fly ball
17%
ground ball
46%
spin 1:51
4-seam21% used · 98 pit
0 HR
stuff
45%
swing & miss
18%
contact
82%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
52%
spin 1:26
sweeper16% used · 123 pit
0 HR
stuff
18%
swing & miss
33%
contact
67%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
35%
spin 7:43
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 18% here · tap to split by cell
.278
up / in
.266
4-Seam 27%
.359
contact
100%
middle — over the heartworks 20% here · tap to split by cell
.442
middle / out
.187
4-Seam 32%
.114
contact
100%
middle / mid
.603
Sinker 71%
.603
contact
100%
middle / in
.480
Sinker 48%
.575
contact
88%
downworks 56% here · tap to split by cell
.532
down / out
.543
Sweeper 52%
.622
contact
61%
down / mid
.431
Sinker 43%
.695
contact
50%
Change 24%
.141
contact
50%
down / in
.622
Sinker 49%
.979
contact
72%
Change 36%
.203
contact
55%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.231——25%1.85
Away1.653——18%3.86
vs LHB0.61110%20%22%—
vs RHB0.79215%20%23%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Ketel Marte S25%›2 Geraldo Perdomo S6%›3 Corbin Carroll L27%›4 Gabriel Moreno R11%›5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. R7%›6 Nolan Arenado R7%›7 Jordan Lawlar R—›8 Pavin Smith L—›9 Tommy Troy R—›
TB @ LADneutral
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
10:10p In Progresswind 9 mph Out To RF
71°
First pitch & venue
TB @ LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10p In Progress
Weather
Partly Cloudy · 71°F · wind wind 9 mph Out To RF
HR conditions ×1.02 · longer + greener = more carry
Parkstadium HR factor
0.97
WindOut To RF
1.05
Temperature71°F
1.00
Top HR plays in this gameJunior Caminero TB29%›Max Muncy LAD29%›Freddie Freeman LAD28%›Jonathan Aranda TB28%›Andy Pages LAD26%›
SP: Nick Martinez (R) vs Eric Lauer (L)
Current lineups & pitchers
tap any player or pitcher to see the matchup
18
players
TB lineup · vs Eric Lauer (LHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Eric Lauer • LHP (LAD)prime target
TB @ LAD | vs TB
2/5 W–L • 5.47 ERA • 36 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
2.0 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 31% FB • 17% K • 5.47 ERA (H 5.88 / A 5.06)
▬ Holding steady
1.30
hittability
Pitcher summary
Eric Lauer carries a 2.04 HR/9 and gave up 2 last time out (4 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 4 to LHB (4.3/9), 11 to RHB (2.2/9). 5.47 ERA.
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/09 5.2 IP · 89 P2 HR
06/02 4.2 IP · 70 P1 HR
05/26 6.0 IP · 96 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 28%, Mullins 16%
vs righty batscurve · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 29%, Díaz 25%, Vilade 16%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
31%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
40%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.587
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
17%
ParkLAD
0.97
vs LHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 4 HR in 60 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
15%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
43%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.567
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
20%
ParkLAD
0.97
vs RHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 11 HR in 195 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
31%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
38%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.578
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
17%
ParkLAD
0.97
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
4-seam46% used · 456 pit
8 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
32%
ground ball
28%
spin 10:38
change15% used · 150 pit
0 HR
stuff
5%
swing & miss
9%
contact
91%
fly ball
31%
ground ball
39%
spin 9:57
cutter15% used · 147 pit
2 HR
stuff
24%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
25%
spin 11:30
curve13% used · 124 pit
3 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 4:12
slider11% used · 106 pit
2 HR
stuff
7%
swing & miss
12%
contact
88%
fly ball
26%
ground ball
41%
spin 12:09
4-seam46% used · 119 pit
2 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
32%
ground ball
28%
spin 10:38
change15% used · 3 pit
0 HR
stuff
5%
swing & miss
0%
contact
100%
fly ball
31%
ground ball
39%
spin 9:57
cutter15% used · 30 pit
0 HR
stuff
24%
swing & miss
21%
contact
79%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
25%
spin 11:30
curve13% used · 24 pit
0 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
12%
contact
88%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 4:12
slider11% used · 54 pit
2 HR
stuff
7%
swing & miss
20%
contact
80%
fly ball
26%
ground ball
41%
spin 12:09
4-seam46% used · 337 pit
6 HR
stuff
17%
swing & miss
16%
contact
84%
fly ball
32%
ground ball
28%
spin 10:38
change15% used · 147 pit
0 HR
stuff
5%
swing & miss
9%
contact
91%
fly ball
31%
ground ball
39%
spin 9:57
cutter15% used · 117 pit
2 HR
stuff
24%
swing & miss
23%
contact
77%
fly ball
33%
ground ball
25%
spin 11:30
curve13% used · 100 pit
3 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
35%
ground ball
35%
spin 4:12
slider11% used · 52 pit
0 HR
stuff
7%
swing & miss
4%
contact
96%
fly ball
26%
ground ball
41%
spin 12:09
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 45% here · tap to split by cell
.620
up / out
.827
4-Seam 64%
.839
contact
74%
Curve 10%
.722
contact
100%
Change 6%
.515
contact
88%
up / mid
.506
4-Seam 70%
.531
contact
82%
Cutter 25%
.264
contact
60%
up / in
.337
4-Seam 62%
.308
contact
89%
Cutter 33%
.442
contact
91%
middle — over the heartworks 20% here · tap to split by cell
.619
middle / out
.478
4-Seam 47%
.622
contact
84%
Cutter 18%
.808
contact
81%
Curve 17%
.199
contact
100%
Change 14%
.402
contact
89%
middle / mid
.820
4-Seam 55%
.929
contact
93%
Cutter 16%
.940
contact
80%
Curve 15%
.467
contact
91%
Slider 8%
.380
contact
100%
Change 7%
1.196
contact
100%
middle / in
.471
4-Seam 58%
.408
contact
90%
Cutter 31%
.565
contact
97%
downworks 35% here · tap to split by cell
.645
down / out
.557
Change 46%
.523
contact
86%
4-Seam 22%
.926
contact
92%
Curve 22%
.411
contact
95%
Slider 3%
.459
contact
80%
down / mid
.689
Curve 35%
.410
contact
72%
Change 20%
.748
contact
83%
4-Seam 19%
.899
contact
100%
Slider 14%
.532
contact
76%
Cutter 12%
1.175
contact
73%
down / in
.637
Slider 23%
.466
contact
75%
Curve 23%
1.043
contact
69%
Cutter 21%
.667
contact
78%
Change 19%
.570
contact
73%
4-Seam 14%
.535
contact
100%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home2.778——20%5.88
Away2.367——13%5.06
vs LHB1.77415%24%20%—
vs RHB1.871114%31%17%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Yandy Díaz R25%›2 Jonathan Aranda L28%›3 Junior Caminero R29%›4 Ryan Vilade R16%›5 Ben Williamson R13%›6 Austin Slater R12%›7 Cedric Mullins L16%›8 Nick Fortes R8%›9 Taylor Walls S6%›
LAD lineup · vs Nick Martinez (RHP)
Opposing starter — tap for HR-hittability
Nick Martinez • RHP (TB)prime target
TB @ LAD | vs LAD
6/2 W–L (Tied–21st) • 2.43 ERA (7th) • 44 Ks • 1.16 WHIP (32nd)
1.0 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 15% K • 2.43 ERA (H 3.02 / A 1.75)
▬ Holding steady
1.12
hittability
Pitcher summary
Nick Martinez carries a 1.03 HR/9 and gave up 0 last time out (2 over his last 3). HRs allowed: 5 to LHB (0.6/9), 4 to RHB (0.8/9).
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/09 7.0 IP · 73 P0 HR
06/03 4.0 IP · 58 P2 HR
05/29 7.0 IP · 88 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 28%, Rushing 25%
vs righty batscutter · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 26%, Betts 18%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
25%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
34%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.515
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
15%
ParkLAD
0.97
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 5 HR in 222 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
14%
Fly ballsballs in the air
25%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
35%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.494
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
16%
ParkLAD
0.97
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 5 HR in 158 PA
Barrel allowedloud-contact %
13%
Fly ballsballs in the air
24%
Hard-hit95+ mph allowed
35%
Contact damagexSLG allowed
.555
Low strikeoutsK% — fewer K = more contact
15%
ParkLAD
0.97
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
sinker29% used · 375 pit
3 HR
stuff
63%
swing & miss
7%
contact
93%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
41%
spin 12:55
change28% used · 356 pit
0 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
39%
spin 2:18
cutter20% used · 257 pit
4 HR
stuff
67%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
36%
ground ball
36%
spin 12:42
4-seam12% used · 151 pit
2 HR
stuff
29%
swing & miss
10%
contact
90%
fly ball
30%
ground ball
27%
spin 12:56
curve7% used · 89 pit
0 HR
stuff
39%
swing & miss
12%
contact
88%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
42%
spin 6:31
sinker29% used · 179 pit
1 HR
stuff
63%
swing & miss
3%
contact
97%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
41%
spin 12:55
change28% used · 227 pit
0 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
30%
contact
70%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
39%
spin 2:18
cutter20% used · 160 pit
2 HR
stuff
67%
swing & miss
15%
contact
85%
fly ball
36%
ground ball
36%
spin 12:42
4-seam12% used · 97 pit
2 HR
stuff
29%
swing & miss
13%
contact
87%
fly ball
30%
ground ball
27%
spin 12:56
curve7% used · 56 pit
0 HR
stuff
39%
swing & miss
14%
contact
86%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
42%
spin 6:31
sinker29% used · 196 pit
2 HR
stuff
63%
swing & miss
9%
contact
91%
fly ball
24%
ground ball
41%
spin 12:55
change28% used · 129 pit
0 HR
stuff
3%
swing & miss
32%
contact
68%
fly ball
20%
ground ball
39%
spin 2:18
cutter20% used · 97 pit
2 HR
stuff
67%
swing & miss
10%
contact
90%
fly ball
36%
ground ball
36%
spin 12:42
4-seam12% used · 54 pit
0 HR
stuff
29%
swing & miss
4%
contact
96%
fly ball
30%
ground ball
27%
spin 12:56
curve7% used · 33 pit
0 HR
stuff
39%
swing & miss
10%
contact
90%
fly ball
25%
ground ball
42%
spin 6:31
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
upworks 38% here · tap to split by cell
.414
up / out
.418
4-Seam 34%
.378
contact
83%
Change 24%
.316
contact
84%
Cutter 18%
.551
contact
71%
Sinker 10%
.412
contact
94%
up / mid
.520
4-Seam 34%
.616
contact
91%
Cutter 26%
.648
contact
75%
Sinker 18%
.338
contact
89%
up / in
.481
4-Seam 40%
.411
contact
79%
Cutter 33%
.614
contact
82%
Sinker 23%
.328
contact
100%
middle — over the heartworks 23% here · tap to split by cell
.749
middle / out
.718
Change 36%
.531
contact
85%
4-Seam 29%
.766
contact
93%
Curve 10%
1.748
contact
100%
Sinker 5%
.797
contact
100%
middle / mid
.524
Cutter 31%
.427
contact
82%
4-Seam 24%
.667
contact
96%
Change 16%
.337
contact
89%
Sinker 13%
.712
contact
100%
Curve 11%
.493
contact
100%
middle / in
.841
Cutter 38%
.867
contact
97%
4-Seam 26%
.891
contact
96%
Sinker 24%
.761
contact
88%
downworks 39% here · tap to split by cell
.319
down / out
.349
Change 64%
.289
contact
63%
Curve 10%
.146
contact
88%
Sinker 5%
.258
contact
100%
down / mid
.443
Change 38%
.474
contact
49%
Curve 21%
.281
contact
63%
Cutter 17%
.426
contact
91%
4-Seam 11%
.381
contact
100%
Slider 7%
.467
contact
100%
Sinker 5%
.634
contact
100%
down / in
.431
Cutter 39%
.324
contact
76%
4-Seam 8%
.707
contact
86%
Slider 8%
.776
contact
62%
Splits · home/away & batter hand
HR/9HRBarrelFB%K%ERA
Home0.653——15%3.02
Away0.753——12%1.75
vs LHB0.95514%25%16%—
vs RHB1.20513%24%15%—
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
1 Shohei Ohtani L17%›2 Andy Pages R26%›3 Freddie Freeman L28%›4 Mookie Betts R18%›5 Max Muncy L29%›6 Kyle Tucker L14%›7 Ryan Ward L—›8 Dalton Rushing L25%›9 Alex Freeland S8%›
Likelihood-first board. Even the top plays hit ~1-in-5 — most miss by design. Confirm lineups & odds at lock; bet within your means.